Agentic AI systems, which can perceive, reason, adapt, and act independently, introduce new challenges in evaluating performance and uncertainty. These systems exhibit nondeterministic behavior, meaning that even with identical inputs, the output may vary due to factors like accumulated internal state, causal dependencies, and feedback loops. This nondeterminism makes it difficult to predict and evaluate the performance of agentic AI systems.
Contextual goal decomposition and planning are key characteristics of agentic AI systems. They decompose goals and plan actions based on context, leading to complex decision pathways that are difficult to evaluate using traditional metrics. Uncertainty can cascade through the system, affecting decision-making and outcomes in unpredictable ways.
To manage uncertainty in agentic AI systems, probabilistic reasoning can be employed. Integrating probabilistic modeling and natural language processing can help AI agents navigate uncertainty with precision. Implementing observability and analytics frameworks can also help detect issues, identify root causes, and optimize agentic AI systems. Automation can play a crucial role in reducing uncertainty and improving performance by automating certain aspects of agentic AI systems.
As agentic AI systems continue to evolve, it's essential to rethink evaluation metrics. Traditional evaluation metrics may no longer suffice, and new frameworks and guardrails are needed to track behavior, intent, and adaptability. Rather than eliminating uncertainty, the goal is to tame it by minimizing the frequency and severity of undesirable outcomes through automation, observability, and analytics. By doing so, we can unlock the potential of agentic AI and enable these systems to operate with increased reliability and trustworthiness.